GCC Realignment Risk: The Fragility of Al-Ula and the Saudi-Emirati Axis
Analysis of political risk within the GCC: the fragility of the Al-Ula reconciliation, the Saudi-Emirati strategic axis and its implications for Qatar, friction points in Qatar's independent foreign policy, and scenarios for future GCC political dynamics.
Iran Escalation Scenarios: Qatar's Most Dangerous Neighbourhood Risk
Analysis of Iran-related risks to Qatar: the shared North Field/South Pars gas reservoir, Strait of Hormuz dependency, US-Iran military escalation scenarios, nuclear deal implications, and Qatar's strategic positioning between Washington and Tehran.
Qatar's Demographic Imbalance: The Expatriate Question
Analysis of Qatar's extreme demographic structure, where expatriates constitute over eighty-five percent of the population, and the implications for national identity, labour markets, social cohesion, and long-term governance.
Water and Food Security: Qatar's Existential Vulnerability
Analysis of Qatar's structural dependence on desalinated water and imported food, the vulnerabilities exposed by the 2017 blockade, and the national security implications of resource scarcity in an arid microstate.